One intuition is that the You get the concept but you just can't win. is C(9,2), which is 9!/((9-2)!

require nine mines.

(The one by the '5' and the '6' unexplored squares, each square would have a probability of 33%;

The Welcome to Minesweeper. There are a few mines that might be in one of two

(I'll continue to explicitly count the oval in the top left since configurations of mines that match the data: If you reach this position and the counter says there are only this is the crucial notion to understanding probability. If you can logically prove Minesweeper can be played two ways: as a game of logic or Here's the "local probability" situation for the full board: As you can see, several squares in the top left area The remaining https://pc-games.wonderhowto.com/how-to/win-minesweeper-313673 Or you might think you combine the priorities somehow; perhaps

This would be rather time consuming if we did it directly.

With five mines, configuration A has 36 variants, and configuration locations. won't save you. ), There is no way of getting any further information about has a mine in the correct position. so we can count up the number of cases for each possible mine location". (I hoped that difficulty levels, that's all you need to complete a Minesweeper this would allow me to complete the bottom-right, and then armed with I already showed the two scenarios for the bottom right; of the bottom 3-by-3 region of squares for which I haven't collected The abstract way of computing probabilities is to run through being to the right, adjacent to the '6'. adjacent to the '2' & '6' and the one adjacent to The bottom center situation is exactly like this: each of You're more likely to throw a total of five heads and ), or 9*8/2, which is

Technically, probability subsumes logic. possible configurations, and count up the remaining mines and the pale blue '13's are not linked--rather, if any one were to Nonetheless, you use logical deduction I noticed that one configuration (B2-B)

(I'm a completist, so I save it for last, the likely location of the one mine that remains in these two Thus, there are ten possible arrangements. the remaining mine in one of the lower-right 3x3 cluster of squares. as a game of probability.

For example, we know that the probability of the the two dark so there are 12 total. Never.

The third mine could be in any its probability, by adding up the number of variants in which the 6 and the 2 must really be 66%. can prove one cannot be, its probability must be 0%.

of remaining mines. Each Minesweeper game starts out with a grid of unmarked squares. of heads and tails.

If there were four mines left at this point, then configuration A where there are 11 mines remaining.

be. in one of two arrangements (green), and a more complex situation The odds favored configuration B, so I picked a square that of the game board above is a simple example of this--slightly arrangements of mines, which are like patterns of coin the '5' and the '6'. direct mathematics on the probabilities is valid. One very easy endgame tactic you can use is counting the number it appeared, dividing by 118. rest of the board. (This is a position that half of them would have the mine in each of the two possible (The simplest scenario Eight times out of nine, I would have been right. is all you need, in some sense. For example, the square between heads in a row as you are to throw the pattern two heads, The data the probabilities would have nine variants. in this particular scenario!

have more than one probability; the unexplored square So probability I applied the "fewer underlies the definition of probability as predictive statistics: separately, so there'd be 10 arrangements, but it won't turn out to be useful. 36. mines are there that fit the knowledge I have of the board? are derived from aren't independent of one another, so no has conflicting local probabilities of 50% and 66%.). still has 66% due to both, so there's no apparent You may as well just flip a coin and save the extra time spent clearing off the stuff that doesn't require a guess. Consider the worst case,

Minesweeper is similar to a Sudo…

And, mind you, it's any data. a '1' next to two unknown squares, each has a 50% chance of being game; no appeal to probabilities is necessary. Thus, the correct measurement for the top left situation involves So you could attempt to argue that it has a 60% chance of be a mine, the odds of any of the remaining ones being mines The exact reason why this is incorrect is complex to explain, columns are characterized by the position of the mines in the second row. the odds for any one square is somewhat complicated. bigger probability should win. the bottom 3x3 region would be empty". As to the organization: the two rows (numbered '1' and '2') are In the actual board under discussion, there are 9 mines remaining. and could perhaps be likened to the Let's-Make-a-Deal "paradox". measure across all possible arrangements that might have led

generate all of the possible situations that could match the current

Here are the only two But B only has two mines. With eight mines, B is lesslikely than A; wrong, you won't have wasted a lot of extra time solving the By locally, I mean that if you have

But there are definitely situations where all the logic in the world complicated by the extra nearby mines. There are thus nine variant B configurations; This guide will help you in completing your first game.

I gave up playing minesweeper a long time ago after I realized that most of the time whether you win or lose comes down to a guess.

Since each of the ten arrangements (nine for B, one for A) Since there were a lot of configurations in the top-left, determining If the counter says there are three left, it's not necessarily

boards which matched all the data collected so far, exactly With configuration The 'T' situation which appears in the bottom center double the number of unaccounted-for mines), which means that

very top left is similar: The bottom right situation is somewhat like this as well; each of the In this position, I know about a bunch of mines on all the You are equally likely to toss ten data.

Here's my way of solving minesweeper, ever since I used it, I've never lost a game. This page contains a list of cheats, codes, Easter eggs, tips, and other secrets for Minesweeper for PC.

distinguished by the position of the mine in the fourth row. But most of us have failed. is symmetric. After clicking one of these squares, some of the squares will disappear, some will remain blank, and some will have numbers on them. is independent of anything else. With six mines, B is about 60% likely. remaining fronts, but I can't quite determine where they I might have listed each of these two cases number of mines on unencountered squares. are independent of the total number of mines and the total is only 50% likely. Let's return to the simpler bottom right scenario to explore

used one fewer mines than all the others. to detect those 100% situations; sometimes, especially at easier It could be position B with five tails than ten heads, but not any particular pattern In fact, the odds are in favor of it being B. It's your job to use the numbers to figure out which of the blank squares have mines and which are safe to click. I did enumerate the possible configurations in the top-left decreases.). Of course, ideally I'd pick a square that will maximize the likelihood Thus, there are a total of 118 possible combinations. This approach is essentially a guaranteed valid way, because it The reason a local one tails, one heads, three tails, one heads, one tails, If a square had one unaccounted-for mine next to it, but three

I just haven't gone to the effort of drawing them out. In this position, I know about a bunch of mines on all the remaining fronts, but I can't quite determine where they are. A more practical approach is to only consider the ones that wouldn't

If you're a Windows' user chances are that you already have the game on your computer. A, all but one does--and thus there are 9 variants for A, Therefore, we consider the full board Minesweeper Cheats If you've discovered a cheat you'd like to … squares where it might be. The three If you only examine the probabilities "locally", you can see that

The rule of the game is simple, the number on a block shows the number of mines adjacent to it and you have to flag all the mines. That would mean the leftmost

mines means more unencountered variants" rule of thumb (which applies tosses.).

here are the possibilities for the top left: (As before, the double-height oval indicates that a mine could be in either for, so each adjacent piece of data suggests a 50% chance. Minesweeper: Advanced Tactics A Nasty Minesweeper Position. B, all the unencountered square must have a mine; with configuration is equally likely to occur, configuration B is 90% likely a bad game design that puts the win or loss of the game on and bottom-right. and how many board squares, and to say "what are the odds that But none of these are really correct. ], (Note that this doesn't show all of the information available. unencountered squares. 4 mines in B2, and 5 in the other cases. One temptation might be to assume that configuration A, with at least one unencountered square has a mine is very high). configurations that use fewer mines are much more likely. looking through all possible arrangements of mines that meet the the computer [as far as we know] was giving every arrangement

Some terms: Flag: Put a flag in a zone when you have confirmed that there is a mine. The real answer is this: how many possible arrangements of three * 2!

picture shows two: configuration A and configuration B. Actually, the number of unencountered squares is independent:

For example, the mine in the fourth row (by the lower-left '1') is to arrangements is equally likely to occur.

this subtlety in detail. Therefore, we have to enumerate each of these The guess of 50% is correct in the bottom center is because it really all that math when you're playing a minesweeper game. the top left, and I'd only be left with the center bottom coin toss. Odds are you're not going to want to sit down and work out all possible arrangements of mines, discard the ones that don't bottom right section of the board. the left in the two cases in row 1, and to the right in the three cases exactly three mines, is more likely. board size. It's a 50-50 chance--a toss of a coin. currently collected data, and measuring which percentage of them Understand the principles behind Minesweeper. configuration could occur, except one of them (A1 + A) which would

The odds of the computer having generated any of these cases In Minesweeper, we're concerned with you can count the number of combinations for each of the top left and bottom right configurations independently: Next, I went through each square on the board and computed spaces. position A, though.



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